Books & Podcasts

A curated list of books and podcasts that have shaped my thinking about decision-making, probability, and understanding the world.

Decision Making & Probability

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Daniel Kahneman

The foundational work on cognitive biases and dual-process theory. System 1 vs System 2 thinking.

Amazon

Noise

Kahneman, Sibony & Sunstein

Why variability in human judgment causes errors across medicine, law, and business decisions.

Amazon

Fooled by Randomness

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

How we mistake luck for skill. Essential reading on probability and risk perception.

Amazon

Thinking in Bets

Annie Duke

Poker champion’s guide to making better decisions under uncertainty. Separate outcomes from process.

Amazon

The Signal and the Noise

Nate Silver

Why most predictions fail. Case studies from elections, sports, weather, and finance.

Amazon

On the Edge

Nate Silver (2024)

The hidden world of risk-takers: poker players, hedge fund titans, crypto speculators, and AI bettors.

Amazon

Michael Lewis Collection

Moneyball

Michael Lewis

How the Oakland A’s used data analytics to compete against bigger budgets. Changed sports forever.

Amazon

The Undoing Project

Michael Lewis

The friendship between Kahneman and Tversky that revolutionized how we understand the mind.

Amazon

Going Infinite

Michael Lewis

The rise and fall of Sam Bankman-Fried and the FTX crypto empire.

Amazon

Podcasts

The Tim Ferriss Show

Long-form interviews with world-class performers. Deconstruct excellence across domains.

Listen

Lex Fridman Podcast

Deep conversations on AI, science, philosophy. Technical depth with broad curiosity.

Listen